Splash 247

Oil demand to peak within five years: DNV GL

Oil demand to peak within five years: DNV GL

Array
(
    [0] => WP_Term Object
        (
            [term_id] => 59
            [name] => Gas
            [slug] => gas
            [term_group] => 0
            [term_taxonomy_id] => 59
            [taxonomy] => category
            [description] => This is the Splash 24/7 archive related to the gas sector news coming from all over the world. News are sorted by release date, from the latest to the oldest. 

Get the updated list of the latest news about gas and logistics. Browse Splash 24/7 for more maritime and shipping news.

            [parent] => 54
            [count] => 662
            [filter] => raw
            [cat_ID] => 59
            [category_count] => 662
            [category_description] => This is the Splash 24/7 archive related to the gas sector news coming from all over the world. News are sorted by release date, from the latest to the oldest. 

Get the updated list of the latest news about gas and logistics. Browse Splash 24/7 for more maritime and shipping news.

            [cat_name] => Gas
            [category_nicename] => gas
            [category_parent] => 54
        )

    [1] => WP_Term Object
        (
            [term_id] => 60
            [name] => Offshore
            [slug] => offshore
            [term_group] => 0
            [term_taxonomy_id] => 60
            [taxonomy] => category
            [description] => Stay updated on what's going on in the offshore industry by browsing the offshore news archive. Find the latest maritime and shipping news on Splash 24/7.

Read the latest news about offshore. Browse Splash 24/7 for more maritime and shipping news.

            [parent] => 54
            [count] => 3684
            [filter] => raw
            [cat_ID] => 60
            [category_count] => 3684
            [category_description] => Stay updated on what's going on in the offshore industry by browsing the offshore news archive. Find the latest maritime and shipping news on Splash 24/7.

Read the latest news about offshore. Browse Splash 24/7 for more maritime and shipping news.

            [cat_name] => Offshore
            [category_nicename] => offshore
            [category_parent] => 54
        )

    [2] => WP_Term Object
        (
            [term_id] => 58
            [name] => Tankers
            [slug] => tankers
            [term_group] => 0
            [term_taxonomy_id] => 58
            [taxonomy] => category
            [description] => Stay updated on what's going on in the shipping and tankers sector by browsing the tankers news archive. Find the latest maritime and shipping news on Splash 24/7.

Find here the updated list of the latest news about tankers. Browse Splash 24/7 for more maritime and shipping news.

            [parent] => 54
            [count] => 1588
            [filter] => raw
            [cat_ID] => 58
            [category_count] => 1588
            [category_description] => Stay updated on what's going on in the shipping and tankers sector by browsing the tankers news archive. Find the latest maritime and shipping news on Splash 24/7.

Find here the updated list of the latest news about tankers. Browse Splash 24/7 for more maritime and shipping news.

            [cat_name] => Tankers
            [category_nicename] => tankers
            [category_parent] => 54
        )

)

Oil and gas will be crucial components of the world’s energy future, according to class society DNV GL’s forecast of the energy transition. While renewable energy will grow its share of the energy mix, oil and gas will account for 44% of world energy supply in 2050, compared to 53% today. Gas will become the largest single source of energy from 2034.

DNV GL’s Energy Transition Outlook (ETO), a forecast that spans the global energy mix to 2050, predicts that global demand for energy will flatten in 2030, then steadily decline over the next two decades, thanks to step-changes in energy efficiency. The fossil fuel share of the world’s primary energy mix will reduce from 81% currently to 52% in 2050.

Demand for oil will peak in 2022, driven by expectations for a surge in prominence of light electric vehicles, accounting for 50% of new car sales globally by 2035. However, the stage is set for gas to become the largest single source of energy towards 2050, and the last of the fossil fuels to experience peak demand, which DNV GL expects will occur in 2035.

Gas will continue to play a key role alongside renewables in helping to meet future, lower-carbon, energy requirements. Major oil companies intend to increase the share of gas in their reserves, and DNV GL expect an accelerated shift by 2022 as they decarbonize business portfolios.

While demand for hydrocarbons will peak over the next two decades, significant investment will be needed to add new oil and gas production capacity and operate existing assets safely and sustainably.

However, the results of DNV GL’s model reinforce the need to maintain strict cost efficiency in order to achieve the margins necessary for future capital and operational expenditure.

“We have seen impressive and important innovative efforts across the energy industry, resulting in cost saving and efficiency gains. The oil and gas industry must continue on a path of strict cost control to stay relevant. Coming from a tradition of technological achievements, and having the advantage of existing infrastructure and value chains, this industry has the potential to continue to contribute to energy security and shape our energy future,” said Elisabeth Tørstad, CEO of DNV GL – Oil & Gas.

“Increased digitalisation, standardisation and remote or autonomous operations will play a central role in achieving long-term cost savings and improving the oil and gas industry’s carbon footprint. We also expect the industry to turn to innovations in facility design, operating models and contracting strategies,” Tørstad added.

Share this article

Sam Chambers

Starting out with the Informa Group in 2000 in Hong Kong, Sam Chambers became editor of Maritime Asia magazine as well as East Asia Editor for the world’s oldest newspaper, Lloyd’s List. In 2005 he pursued a freelance career and wrote for a variety of titles including taking on the role of Asia Editor at Seatrade magazine and China correspondent for Supply Chain Asia. His work has also appeared in The Economist, The New York Times, The Sunday Times and The International Herald Tribune.

Related Posts