AsiaDry CargoTech

MOL using articificial intelligence to predict cape freight markets

The world’s largest operator of dry bulk vessels has revealed it has been using articificial intelligence for the last two years to predict which way capesize freight rates will go.

Japan’s Mitsui OSK Lines (MOL) announced today it has concluded a technology consulting agreement with Professor Tomoharu Nagao of the Yokohama National University Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences. MOL has been working with Nagao since 2016 to forecast the dry bulk market by analysing a large range of data.

MOL said it will continue to promote the use and application of ICT-based trends in advanced digitalisation.

Nagao is the creator of next-generation AI advanced machine learning and the percolative learning method, a model that percolates future information from machine learning.

A spokesperson for MOL told Splash today that the company has been testing AI to predict the cape freight market and which way it will move over certain periods such as a week or a month.

“It has been tested against our chartering desks forecast, and results are close,” a spokesperson said.

Sam Chambers

Starting out with the Informa Group in 2000 in Hong Kong, Sam Chambers became editor of Maritime Asia magazine as well as East Asia Editor for the world’s oldest newspaper, Lloyd’s List. In 2005 he pursued a freelance career and wrote for a variety of titles including taking on the role of Asia Editor at Seatrade magazine and China correspondent for Supply Chain Asia. His work has also appeared in The Economist, The New York Times, The Sunday Times and The International Herald Tribune.
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