Predictive emissions index launches

Greece’s METIS Cyberspace Technology has refined its cloud-based data acquisition and ship performance reporting solution to offer shipping’s first tool to predict the trade-off between emissions reduction and debt servicing for ships financed under the Poseidon Principles.

Designed to incentivise maritime decarbonisation, the Poseidon Principles offer a framework for financial institutions to lend in line with International Maritime Organization goals to halve greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. Twenty institutions have signed up so far, representing over $150bn in loans – more than a third of shipping’s global financing. Assessing whether ships merit further investment to keep pace with the IMO average efficiency ratio (AER) underpinning the principles will be key but, to date, exact emissions targets have not been forthcoming.

Now, however, the Greek data analytics specialist has created what it claims is the first viable methodology allowing owners to predict whether their ships would benefit most from investment, a change in operating profile or disposal in response to advancing emissions rules. The METIS Poseidon Principles Emissions Index could even help owners outperforming AER seek to lower borrowing costs, the company claimed in a release.

“The owner calculates an individual ship’s standard deviation from the AER target, then considers the impact of investments or operating guidance on overall costs including outstanding debt,” explained Serafeim Katsikas, the chief technical officer at METIS. “These calculations also offer a prediction on the costs of servicing debt in the context of emissions restrictions and therefore an assessment of the ship’s viable lifespan.”

An owner facing suboptimal AER can also use the METIS index to identify the impact of different shortcomings on ship performance. In its next phase METIS plans to include scenario-based analysis it has developed in order to predict the impact of individual technology upgrades.

Speaking with sister title Splash Extra yesterday, Mike Konstantinidis, the CEO of METIS, related a recent job carried out for an owner where METIS went through an entire fleet to work out which ships were economically sound with upcoming regulations such as EEXI and EEDI on the horizon. The two vessels METIS identified as unlikely to make the cut when new potential regulations come into play in the coming years were swiftly sold by the owner.

“The fourth revolution in shipping is happening – some will not survive,” Konstantinidis said in the interview with Splash Extra.

Sam Chambers

Starting out with the Informa Group in 2000 in Hong Kong, Sam Chambers became editor of Maritime Asia magazine as well as East Asia Editor for the world’s oldest newspaper, Lloyd’s List. In 2005 he pursued a freelance career and wrote for a variety of titles including taking on the role of Asia Editor at Seatrade magazine and China correspondent for Supply Chain Asia. His work has also appeared in The Economist, The New York Times, The Sunday Times and The International Herald Tribune.
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